SPC MD 2348

MD 2348 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND SOUTHWEST GEORGIA Mesoscale Discussion 2348 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1022 AM CDT Fri Oct 09 2026 Areas affected...portions of southeast Alabama...the Florida Panhandle and southwest Georgia Concerning...Severe potential...Tornado Watch likely Valid 091522Z - 091745Z Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent SUMMARY...The tropical cyclone tornado risk will increase across the Florida Panhandle over the next few hours. With time, this risk will spread north/northeast into parts of southeast Alabama and southwest Georgia through evening. A tornado watch will be issued in the 17-18z time frame. DISCUSSION...Northeasterly low-level winds are still present across the region in the vicinity of a stationary front draped across northern FL and the north-central Gulf Coast ahead of Hurricane Isaias. This boundary will lift northward across north FL and the Panhandle as the hurricane progresses toward the coast this afternoon. As this occurs, richer boundary layer moisture (mid to upper 70s F dewpoints) will overspread the coastal vicinity. Likewise, low-le...