SPC MD 2353

MD 2353 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR PORTIONS OF FAR EASTERN GEORGIA INTO CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA Mesoscale Discussion 2353 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1200 PM CDT Sat Oct 10 2026 Areas affected...portions of far eastern Georgia into central and southern South Carolina Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 101700Z - 101830Z Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent SUMMARY...The threat for isolated tornadoes continues to gradually increase through the early afternoon. A Tornado Watch issuance may be needed pending strengthening storm trends. DISCUSSION...The warm sector within the right-front quadrant of Isaias' remnants continues to destabilize, with insolation and low-level warm-air advection contributing to low 80s F/mid 70s F surface temperatures/dewpoints becoming more widespread over land, ahead of an approaching confluence band. With time, convective cells both within and preceding this band should deepen and intensify as the boundary layer continues to destabilize. MLCAPE should only reach the 500-1000 J/kg range on a widespread basis, and be constrained to very thin vertical buoyancy profiles. Nonetheless, ample ...