SPC MD 2382

MD 2382 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 686...687... FOR PORTIONS OF THE MID ATLANTIC Mesoscale Discussion 2382 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0433 PM CDT Fri Oct 16 2026 Areas affected...portions of the Mid Atlantic Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 686...687... Valid 162133Z - 162300Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 686, 687 continues. SUMMARY...A broken band of low-topped thunderstorms with a history of wind damage should continue eastward this evening. More stable conditions to the east should slowly weaken the complex with time. DISCUSSION...As of 2130 UTC, regional radar imagery over the Northeast/Mid Atlantic showed a broken band of low-topped thunderstorms from southern NY to VA. portions of this line have a history of wind damage across WW686. The environment downstream is strongly sheared, but increasingly stable with SBCAPE decreasing below 500 J/kg across southern New England. Slightly more buoyancy is being observed farther south into the DelMarVa where more clearing has been present. Trends over the last hour show northern portions of the line have weakened and become less organized. This trend is likely to continue as storm...