SPC MD 2403

MD 2403 CONCERNING TORNADO AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCHES 693...694... FOR WESTERN AND NORTH-CENTRAL NEW MEXICO Mesoscale Discussion 2403 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0743 PM CDT Thu Oct 22 2026 Areas affected...Western and north-central New Mexico Concerning...Tornado and Severe Thunderstorm Watches 693...694... Valid 230043Z - 230145Z The severe weather threat for Tornado and Severe Thunderstorm Watches 693, 694 continues. SUMMARY...A threat for isolated large hail and a few severe wind gusts may continue for a couple more hours across parts of western and north-central New Mexico. DISCUSSION...Latest surface analysis shows what appears to be a surface trough extending north-northeastward across western and northern New Mexico. The RAP shows an axis of low-level convergence along and near the trough. This, along with topographic effects, has supported convective development this evening across western and northern New Mexico. Several strong to severe storms are ongoing near and just to the west of the trough, along which surface dewpoints are in the lower to mid 50s F and MLCAPE is estimated by the RAP around 500 J/kg. In addition, the latest VAD Wind Profiler near A...